Markets
184 articlesLook for pieces that explain investor reaction, market conditions that affect portfolios and financial decisions, compare adjacent choices and show how market news, bond-market updates and sector analysis appears in applications, disclosures, statements or official pages.
September's Market Split Left Few Places to Hide
Broad stocks, bonds and real estate weakened in September, while energy-heavy commodities and the Nasdaq-100 gained. Higher yields help explain the divide, but October's returns remain uncertain.
What 98 Years of Market History Say About the 2026 Midterms
Prediction markets favor a Democratic takeover of Congress, while past S&P 500 returns have varied sharply with the party mix in Washington. The history points to risk, not a dependable forecast for investors.
Weak September Jobs Report Gives Stocks a Lift as Treasury Yields Fall
Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, well below forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.2%. Treasury yields fell and stocks rose as investors weighed what the report could mean for the Fed's October decision.
Fed Rate Hike Odds Reach 96% for January 2027
The reported odds of at least one Fed rate increase by Jan. 27, 2027, have reached 96%. The report does not explain what is driving the forecast.
How Long Does It Take the S&P 500 to Recover From a Bear Market?
Yardeni Research counts 11 S&P 500 bear markets since 1957. Recoveries to a new high took a little over three years on average, but that figure cannot tell investors when the next loss will end.
Cooler PCE Data Cut October Fed Hike Odds
August PCE inflation held at 3.4% year over year, while core PCE came in below forecasts. Futures-implied odds of an October Fed hike fell to 37%, and stocks rose modestly.
Ten Market Predictions That Put AI at the Center of 2036
Brian Richards imagines a 2026 to 2036 decade shaped by AI-driven productivity, round-the-clock stock trading and automated financial decisions. His 10% annual market-return assumption is a scenario, not a promise.
Shiller CAPE Above 40 Puts S&P 500 Valuations in Focus
The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE has climbed above 40, a level last reached before the dot-com crash. The measure cannot time a downturn, but it can prompt investors to check their exposure before markets turn.
Vanguard VIG Uses Dividend Growth to Screen for Bear Markets
Trying to dodge a bear market can mean selling after prices fall and missing the recovery. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF screens for companies with long records of dividend growth, but investors still face stock-market risk.
Trump's Economic Gamble Puts the 2026 Stock Rally Under Pressure
The S&P 500 has climbed 27.6% since Trump's November 2024 election victory. Tariffs, higher oil prices and rising bond yields are tightening conditions for AI and other growth stocks.
Oil Supply Fears Push U.S. Stocks Lower
U.S. stocks fell after President Donald Trump rejected a proposed U.S.-Iran truce, renewing concerns about oil supplies. Higher Treasury yields and losses across most sectors added pressure as investors awaited inflation and jobless data.
Nvidia's Record Buyback Fails to Lift Nasdaq
Nvidia rose 2.1% after expanding its buyback, but major indexes fell after Trump rejected Iran's offer on the Strait of Hormuz. Oil jumped as Treasury yields climbed and a busy week of U.S. data put rate expectations under pressure.
Midterm History Gives Stocks a Seasonal Tailwind
Stocks have often gained after midterm elections, with strong average returns across three quarters. The pattern may help long-term investors set expectations, but it cannot promise a rally or remove the risks of stock funds.
SpaceX IPO Hype Puts Retail Traders on the Wrong Side of Timing
SpaceX's completed IPO and staggered lockups have put event-driven trading in focus. Retail investors may have fewer tools than professionals, so the stock's business fundamentals matter more than the market noise.
Should You Invest in Stocks When Valuations Are High?
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have more than doubled since early 2023, while the S&P 500's Shiller CAPE reached 41. A Schwab comparison of five investing approaches over 20 years shows the potential cost of waiting for a better entry point.
Record Highs Do Not Make Stocks Immune to a Downturn
The S&P 500 has set more than two dozen record highs in 2026, while valuation measures have climbed to rare levels. Those readings point to risk, not a reliable date for a selloff.
Warren Buffett's Crash Advice Starts With Cash, Not Forecasts
Buffett's crash playbook starts with cash, not forecasts. A reserve can keep household bills from forcing stock sales, while a downturn may bring lower prices for businesses investors already value.
Midterm Elections Carry a Small, Short-Term Market Risk
Polls point to a possible Democratic takeover of at least one chamber in November. But the historical market penalty is modest and applies most directly to a full sweep. Here's what investors should, and shouldn't, take from the data.
Stocks slide as Treasury yields hit 20-year highs
Stocks dropped for a second day as 30-year Treasury yields jumped to 5.446 percent and mortgage rates hit 7.1 percent. A brief U.S.-China trade truce and new energy supply threats left investors on edge.
Three signals investors cannot ignore in today's market
Oil is trading near $91 a barrel. Treasury yields are climbing. S&P 500 earnings forecasts keep rising. These three signals are shaping the outlook for stocks as investors weigh inflation, war risk, and how much longer the rally can last.
Diesel price surge shakes markets as Buffett urges caution
Diesel has jumped to a record $6.51 per gallon across the U.S., driving up costs for businesses and stoking fears of a market slide. Warren Buffett's steady approach stands out as investors brace for more volatility.
How long it takes for the stock market to recover after big drops
Market crashes of 30% or more have hit about once a decade, but since 1957, the S&P 500 has usually taken just over four years to recover. Recovery times have ranged from six months to more than seven years.
Nasdaq sets new record as Dow drops on financial stock slide
The Nasdaq Composite hit a new intraday high, but the Dow Jones fell 0.6 percent as financial stocks like JPMorgan Chase tumbled. Investors are watching for signals from the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting that could shake up tariffs and tech policy.
Fed rate hike shakes markets, puts silver in the spotlight
The Federal Reserve's first rate increase since 2023 sent stocks sliding, pushed the 10-year Treasury yield near 5 percent, and left investors rethinking silver's place in their portfolios.
Gold draws investors back after Fed rate hike
The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in years. With stocks still expensive and uncertainty running high, investors are looking at gold again as a possible safe haven.
Tech stocks jump as oil prices fall
A sharp drop in oil prices and a surge in chip stocks pushed the Nasdaq up 1.8 percent. Meta Platforms and AMD led the gains as investors weighed how cheaper energy could affect bond yields and tech shares.
Federal Reserve Raises Rates as Trumpflation and AI Costs Pressure Markets
The Federal Reserve's latest rate hike targets persistent inflation fueled by tariffs and AI hardware shortages, leaving consumers and investors facing higher costs and volatile markets
Bond Market Signals Investor Anxiety Over Inflation and Rate Hikes
Rising bond yields are drawing investors away from stocks as the Federal Reserve raises rates to combat persistent inflation, putting pressure on equity markets even as the S&P 500 trades near record highs
Stock Market Valuations Signal Caution for 2026 Growth Outlook
U.S. economic growth remains positive and recession signals are muted for 2026, but the S&P 500's valuation has reached levels last seen during the dot-com era, raising questions about future returns and portfolio risk
AI Stock Surge Sets Stage for Market Reset
AI-driven stocks have powered most recent market gains but their dominance has left portfolios exposed to sector risk and set up a potential shift toward broader diversification
Margin Debt Surge Raises Red Flags for Wall Street Bull Market
Outstanding margin debt has soared 77 percent in just over a year, reaching $1.5 trillion and signaling a potential turning point for U.S. stocks as risk-taking accelerates
S&P 500 slips as rising Treasury yields pressure stocks
Stocks edged lower as the S&P 500 fell 0.19% and Treasury yields hit 5% with utilities the only sector in positive territory while Netflix and industrials dragged on performance
South Korea stock market outpaces global rivals in 2026
South Korea's Kospi index has soared nearly 60 percent in 2026, led by Samsung and SK Hynix, while the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF has jumped 88 percent-raising questions about whether this rally can continue and how U.S. investors can participate
Chip stocks drive Wall Street rebound after rate shock
A sharp rally in chip stocks led by Intel and Nvidia helped the Nasdaq recover after a Fed rate hike rattled markets and signaled no rate cuts through 2029, raising questions about tech supply and the cost of computing
Market Volatility Tests Investor Nerves as History Favors Staying the Course
With the S&P 500 down 1.3 percent in September but up 15 percent over the past year, investors face a familiar dilemma as war, inflation, and rising Treasury yields fuel uncertainty about whether to stay invested or wait for calmer markets
Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise as Markets Await New Dot Plot Projections
With futures markets assigning over a 90% probability to a Fed rate hike to 3.75-4%, investor attention turns to the central bank's updated dot plot and its first-ever 2029 projections for guidance on future policy direction.
Rising Bond Yields Test Market Optimism as Geopolitical Risks Mount
With the S&P 500 losing ground and the 10-year Treasury yield breaching 5 percent, investors face renewed pressure from rising rates, persistent inflation, and global conflict as midterm elections add another layer of uncertainty
Federal Reserve delivers first rate hike in three years as markets react
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate to 3.50%-3.75% for the first time since 2023, sending stocks lower and pushing Treasury yields higher as investors brace for tighter borrowing conditions and potential further hikes.
HSBC bets on higher oil as Gulf pipeline risks mount
HSBC's new oil price outlook hinges on Gulf pipelines staying open but fresh satellite evidence of attacks exposes a fragile bet that could keep diesel and gasoline prices painfully high for U.S. consumers
Tech Stocks Surge as Inflation Data Raises Rate Hike Expectations
U.S. stocks advanced despite August inflation exceeding forecasts and the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike rising to 86 percent. Technology and communication shares led the gains, even as consumer sentiment declined and oil prices eased.
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